Scenario Forecasting: Here’s How Russia Could ‘Pull a Crimea’ in Belarus

Scenario Forecasting: Here’s How Russia Could ‘Pull a Crimea’ in Belarus

President Putin’s reaffirmation of Russia’s CSTO mutual defense obligations to Belarus has led to speculation that he might be considering a repeat of the Crimea scenario to (re)unify the two countries as a political solution to the latter’s ongoing Color Revolution crisis. Should he decide upon such a dramatic course of action, which would in…

The U.S. Foreign Policy Establishment’s Obsession with Russia

The U.S. Foreign Policy Establishment’s Obsession with Russia

During an August 16 segment on Fareed Zakaria’s GPS show on CNN, Richard Haass, the president of the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), described his organization as a “non-partisan institution“. Under the ironic title of “Disinformation and Election 2020“, an August 8 CFR webinar, includes this excerpt from host Carla Robbins, a vanguard for the…

Hands off Lebanon: Macron’s Self-serving ‘New Pact’ Must Be Shunned

Hands off Lebanon: Macron’s Self-serving ‘New Pact’ Must Be Shunned

French President, Emmanuel Macron, is in no position to pontificate to Lebanon about the need for political and economic reforms. Just as thousands of Lebanese took to the streets of Beirut demanding “revenge” against the ruling classes, the French people have relentlessly been doing the same; both peoples have been met with police violence and arrests….

CODENAME: Operation Virus Identification 2019; the Elitist Plan to Remake Society

CODENAME: Operation Virus Identification 2019; the Elitist Plan to Remake Society

Everything we were originally told about the Coronavirus has turned out to be wrong. In fact, it’s not a “novel” one-of-a-kind infection at all, but a member of a larger family of which there have been many iterations in the recent past. It’s also not the most contagious or most lethal virus we’ve ever seen,…

Interpreting the UAE/Israel Agreement on Suspending Annexation

Interpreting the UAE/Israel Agreement on Suspending Annexation

Any comment on regional implications of the Agreement is, of course, highly speculative as the real reasons for such an initiative are rarely disclosed by those with the power of decision. In this case the uncertainties are magnified by some central ambiguities in the language of the text, especially the word ‘suspend’ in relation to…