South Caucasus: A Battle of Wills and Corridors

South Caucasus: A Battle of Wills and Corridors

On 12 December, under the pretext of environmentalism, dozens of state-backed “eco-activists” from Azerbaijan blocked the only land corridor connecting Armenia to Nagorno-Karabakh. The blockade created a humanitarian crisis for the 120,000 Armenians living in Nagorno-Karabakh, cutting them off from the outside world. This is not the first time Baku has taken such a provocative…

Mongolia Unrest Looking Eerily Like a Color Revolution

Mongolia Unrest Looking Eerily Like a Color Revolution

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said in a TV interview in Moscow on Sunday, when asked about where the relationship between Russia and the West is moving, “Well, we are not moving. We have already arrived at a station named ‘Confrontation,’ and we have to be reserved, strong, to have underlying strength because we will have…

The Geopolitical Minefields of a Turkic world

The Geopolitical Minefields of a Turkic world

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has blown new life into Turkey’s vision of a Turkic world that stretches from Anatolia to Xinjiang in north-western China. “Central Asia now resembles the 1990s when there was a huge competition between global and regional powers for influence over the resource-rich region. The shadow of Russia on the region, coupled…

Pashinyan Has a Point About How Azerbaijan Sells Its Special Operation to Russia & the West

Pashinyan Has a Point About How Azerbaijan Sells Its Special Operation to Russia & the West

Azerbaijan’s dual messaging to Russia and the West might not just be driven by the short-term motivation of deterring criticism or the worst-case scenario of an intervention to stop its special operation, but by longer-term diplomatic goals. Is Baku Playing Both Sides? Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan shared some useful insight with parliament in response…

Analyzing Azerbaijan’s “Special Military Operation” Against Armenia

Analyzing Azerbaijan’s “Special Military Operation” Against Armenia

Azerbaijan’s undeclared special military operation against Armenia is the most destabilizing development to happen along Russia’s periphery since the latest US-provoked phase of the Ukrainian Conflict began in February. It could even ultimately prove to be a game changer in the worst way possible for Russian interests at the most sensitive time for its own…

Why’d Russia Claim That Terrorists Are Trying to Infiltrate Armenia Via Iran?

Why’d Russia Claim That Terrorists Are Trying to Infiltrate Armenia Via Iran?

What’s most important is that the border security of all multipolar states, especially those that are strategically coordinating to accelerate the global systemic transition to multipolarity like Russia (thus by extension its Armenian mutual defense ally) and Iran are, is impenetrable and that each one does what’s needed to ensure that no destabilizing forces exploit…