Lula is essentially saying that the comprehensive expansion of Brazilian-Russian economic relations is dependent on Russia compromising on those national security goals that it seeks to advance through its ongoing special operation in Ukraine, which Moscow officially regards as existential. This stance contradicts everything that the multipolar community stands for, thus placing Brazil on the…
Lavrov’s trip showcased the significant role that Russia attaches to Brazil when it comes to the Latin American dimension of Moscow’s grand strategy. Both parties’ rhetoric was positive, but it remains to be seen if anything of tangible substance ultimately comes from it, which will be greatly determined by whether or not Lula attends this…
The Brazilian leader’s latest remarks were just a creative reaffirmation of his objectively existing and easily verifiable position towards this conflict. Nothing actually changed, but he’s now expressing himself in a somewhat different way designed to deflect from criticisms of his political alignment with the US against Russia. His chief foreign policy advisor’s visit to…
Abruptly calling the entire trip off after months of planning and having already agreed to so much of importance beforehand just because of one person’s “sickness” suggests that something else is at play behind the scenes. It appears as though Lula realized that the optics of him meeting with his Chinese counterpart – even if…
The second Hybrid War on Brazil is actually the result of an undeclared intra-PT power struggle that was initiated by supporters of the “New Lula” against the party’s base of supporters who still think he’s the “Old Lula”, the outcome of which will determine Brazil’s trajectory in the New Cold War. It’ll either continue moving…
The Kremlin’s polar opposite reactions to these two documents, the Lula-endorsed UNGA Resolution that Moscow harshly condemned and President Xi’s peace plan that it enthusiastically supported, enable observers to better extrapolate each of those two BRICS countries’ geostrategic intentions. Lula has arguably recalibrated his worldview to more closely align with the US’, notwithstanding the latter’s…
