Scenario Forecasting: Here’s How Russia Could ‘Pull a Crimea’ in Belarus

Scenario Forecasting: Here’s How Russia Could ‘Pull a Crimea’ in Belarus

President Putin’s reaffirmation of Russia’s CSTO mutual defense obligations to Belarus has led to speculation that he might be considering a repeat of the Crimea scenario to (re)unify the two countries as a political solution to the latter’s ongoing Color Revolution crisis. Should he decide upon such a dramatic course of action, which would in…

Russian-Belarusian Relations: Back to Being Brothers?

Russian-Belarusian Relations: Back to Being Brothers?

Several recent developments in Russian-Belarusian relations — in particular, Belarus’ return of 32 suspected Wagner mercenaries to Russia, Belarusian opposition leader Tsepkalo’s departure from Russia, and the two phone calls between Presidents Putin and Lukashenko — hint that bilateral ties might soon return to their formerly fraternal level, though the fact of the matter is…

Belarus Is Doing America’s Bidding By Blaming Russia For Its Color Revolution Unrest

Belarus Is Doing America’s Bidding By Blaming Russia For Its Color Revolution Unrest

Belarus blamed Russia last month for stoking Color Revolution unrest ahead of its presidential election in early August, but even though this accusation is completely false, it still risks being instrumentalized as part of a perception management plot to convince its largely Russophilic population to accept the country’s accelerated pivot towards the West (deceptively disguised…

Withdrawing American Troops from Afghanistan – a New Challenge for the CSTO

Withdrawing American Troops from Afghanistan – a New Challenge for the CSTO

For many years now, there has been talk of pulling American troops out of Afghanistan, where a civil war has been raging for 40 years and substantial amounts of territory are under the control of terrorists. The US is now getting ready to carry out this project. There is one opinion that immediately after American…

The Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO): Plans for 2020

The Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO): Plans for 2020

On November 28, 2019, the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) summit was held in Bishkek, the capital of Kyrgyzstan, bringing together member states Russia, Belarus, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. The event was attended by the leaders of CSTO countries, including Russian President Vladimir Putin. CSTO presidency will be passed on to Russia in 2020,…

CSTO Strengthens Military Brotherhood

CSTO Strengthens Military Brotherhood

Challenges and threats facing the world today, first and foremost linked with international terrorism, are forcing all the nations to increasingly concern themselves with issues of security and military cooperation with their partners. Countries in South Asia and the Middle East where international terrorist units are particularly active pose an immediate and direct threat to…