Ethiopia at the Crossroads. Or Is It the End of the Road?

Ethiopia at the Crossroads. Or Is It the End of the Road?

In the absence of an extraordinary event in Ethiopian politics or international diplomacy, both of which appear unlikely in the current circumstances, battlefield developments will determine whether the western area of Tigray Regional State will remain under the control of the armed forces from Amhara Regional State supported by Federal military forces and Eritrea (particularly…

Is Foreign Meddling in Ethiopia Actually a Proxy War Against China?

Is Foreign Meddling in Ethiopia Actually a Proxy War Against China?

The US, its Western allies, and the Arab League must stop meddling in Ethiopia’s internal affairs and the GERD issue should be resolved via African Union-led talks, not the UNSC. Africa’s second most populous country of Ethiopia has recently experienced a surge in foreign meddling over the past year. This former kingdom, which was among…

What Explains Ethiopia’s Stunning Military Reversal in Tigray?

What Explains Ethiopia’s Stunning Military Reversal in Tigray?

Addis Ababa’s unexpected decision to implement a unilateral ceasefire in its rebellious Tigray Region following eight months of war there was influenced by its opponents’ unconventional military advantage fighting on their mountainous home turf, neighboring Eritrea’s military withdrawal from the conflict following international criticism of its activities, and the immense Western pressure put upon the…

Here’s How Eritrea Became the Horn of Africa’s Most Influential Country

Here’s How Eritrea Became the Horn of Africa’s Most Influential Country

Eritrea used to be regarded as a so-called “pariah state” and is still perceived that way to a certain extent among some, but recent years have seen its regional role evolve to the point where it’s arguably the most important player in the Horn of Africa right now, thereby warranting an analysis of how this…

Russia Should Consider Partnering with The UAE in the Horn of Africa

Russia Should Consider Partnering with The UAE in the Horn of Africa

The Horn of Africa is arguably the most geostrategic part of the continent for the rest of the world at large so it’s only fitting that Russia crafts a comprehensive strategy for advancing its interests there, one which would become much more viable if it seriously considered partnering with the region’s de facto Emirati hegemon…