Lavrov’s Trip to Eritrea Advances Russia’s Multipolar Strategy for the Horn of Africa

Lavrov’s Trip to Eritrea Advances Russia’s Multipolar Strategy for the Horn of Africa

Eritrea’s consistent defense of its sovereignty and the newfound geostrategic context in which Russia is operating have resulted in Moscow regarding Asmara as politically reliable with respect to being a multipolar partner in its own right, Russia’s gateway to Ethiopia, and a regional logistics center for expanding trade with the Global South. A Truly Historic…

After Somalia, South Sudan and Sudan, the Chaos Is Spreading to Ethiopia and Soon to Eritrea

After Somalia, South Sudan and Sudan, the Chaos Is Spreading to Ethiopia and Soon to Eritrea

The Ethiopian National Electoral Commission has postponed the September 2020 parliamentary elections because of the Covid epidemic. The TPLF (the main Tigrayan political party) has nevertheless decided to hold the elections in its region of Tigray, thus clearly seceding from the rest of the country. The federal government obviously did not recognise these elections. The…

Ethiopia at the Crossroads. Or Is It the End of the Road?

Ethiopia at the Crossroads. Or Is It the End of the Road?

In the absence of an extraordinary event in Ethiopian politics or international diplomacy, both of which appear unlikely in the current circumstances, battlefield developments will determine whether the western area of Tigray Regional State will remain under the control of the armed forces from Amhara Regional State supported by Federal military forces and Eritrea (particularly…

Is Foreign Meddling in Ethiopia Actually a Proxy War Against China?

Is Foreign Meddling in Ethiopia Actually a Proxy War Against China?

The US, its Western allies, and the Arab League must stop meddling in Ethiopia’s internal affairs and the GERD issue should be resolved via African Union-led talks, not the UNSC. Africa’s second most populous country of Ethiopia has recently experienced a surge in foreign meddling over the past year. This former kingdom, which was among…

What Explains Ethiopia’s Stunning Military Reversal in Tigray?

What Explains Ethiopia’s Stunning Military Reversal in Tigray?

Addis Ababa’s unexpected decision to implement a unilateral ceasefire in its rebellious Tigray Region following eight months of war there was influenced by its opponents’ unconventional military advantage fighting on their mountainous home turf, neighboring Eritrea’s military withdrawal from the conflict following international criticism of its activities, and the immense Western pressure put upon the…