The Second Arab Spring? Egypt is the Litmus Test for Revolution in the Middle East

The Second Arab Spring? Egypt is the Litmus Test for Revolution in the Middle East

In a breathless 48 hours, a president, defence minister and security chief have all been ousted in Sudan.  Omar al-Bashir held absolute power for three decades as president. Awad Ahmed Ibn Auf, the defence minister who announced Bashir’s arrest and declared the country would be run by a military council for two years, lasted all…

Battlefield Libya: Fruits of US-NATO Regime Change

Battlefield Libya: Fruits of US-NATO Regime Change

Libya is back in the news, as fighting escalates around the capital, Tripoli. Forces under the control of Khalifa Haftar – a former Libyan general under the government of Muammar Qaddafi – turned opposition during the 2011 US-led NATO intervention – turned “opposition” again against the UN-backed “Government of National Accord” (GNA) seated in Tripoli…

The Last Battle for Libya

The Last Battle for Libya

The prize is Tripoli, for anyone that can take it and secure it by this summer. That will, it’s felt by many, stabilise Libya or, conversely, at worse, make Her descend into a greater quagmire resulting in a new phase of very intense fighting and all out civil war. Not much hope, at this moment,…