Why Wouldn’t China Draw Cuba into the New Cold War?

Why Wouldn’t China Draw Cuba into the New Cold War?

Last week an unnamed-sources-based story in the Wall Street Journal claimed that China is set to pay Cuba to build a “secret spy base” in the country. The island, adjacent to the United States, has long been a huge geopolitical flashpoint following the Communist Revolution in the country in 1960, which brought it to the highest point…

The US Is Forcing South Africa to Take Sides in the New Cold War

The US Is Forcing South Africa to Take Sides in the New Cold War

The US Ambassador’s allegations about South Africa arming Russia can be interpreted as a pivotal development in that targeted state’s balancing act between those two rivals. US Ambassador to South Africa Reuben Brigety II told local media on Thursday that “We are confident that weapons were loaded onto [Russia’s sanctioned Lady R last December], and…

Interpreting China’s Response to the Balloon Incident

Interpreting China’s Response to the Balloon Incident

Whether one regards this stance as innocently optimistic or irredeemably delusional, there’s no denying that President Xi is still clinging to the New Détente, though it might ultimately be for naught. The balloon incident is shaping up to be the most decisive moment in the New Cold War since the start of Russia’s special operation…

The Five Ways in Which 2022 Completely Changed Russian Grand Strategy

The Five Ways in Which 2022 Completely Changed Russian Grand Strategy

This piece will identify the five ways in which the past year completely changed Russian grand strategy, beginning with the special operation and ending with China replacing that country’s prior role as the one that’s now actively exploring the parameters of a New Détente with the West. It’s admittedly far from a comprehensive list but…

The Emerging Military-Strategic Dynamics of the New Cold War in the Asia-Pacific

The Emerging Military-Strategic Dynamics of the New Cold War in the Asia-Pacific

The Chinese leadership feels like they’re being led into a trap after it’s become obvious that the US is provoking them into militarily acting on the emerging security dilemma over Taiwan before they’re ready. The “politically inconvenient” truth is that China is more strategically vulnerable right now than it’s been in decades, hence why it’s…