As the dust settles after the latest fighting in Transcaucasia we may be witnessing the shaping of a bigger disaster involving more parts of the Western Asian arch of instability spanning from the Caspian Basin to the Mediterranean. Let’s briefly recall what happened. Sometime in 2018, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan offered to help his…
The political future of Armenian Prime Minister Pashinyan is uncertain after his country’s sudden surrender in the Nagorno-Karabakh War sparked large-scale protests against him, but even though he’s taken full responsibility for this unpopular decision and was also arguably responsible for misleading the masses into wrongly thinking that their side was winning the war up…
Russia’s draft deal to open up a Red Sea naval base in Sudan amounts to a strategic recalibration of its careful “balancing” act between the GCC and Turkey after moving more closely to the latter following the end of the Nagorno-Karabakh War, which in turn shows how important Moscow regards its “Ummah Pivot” as being…
It’s all so sensational, I am sure there is no journalists or playwright who can begin to express how messed up the world is today. In America, a president acts like a petulant adolescent. In Europe, a league of nations cannot cope with anything, at least not effectively. Even a global pandemic has not been…
Both Lithuania and Poland are attempting to challenge Russian and Belarusian energy dominance in the Baltics. Although Poland is trying to wean itself off Russian energy reliance, Lithuania is acting far more aggressively by attempting to force Latvia to follow their anti-Russian/Belarusian agenda. The Lithuanian Seimas (Parliament) called for strict political pressure on neighboring Latvia,…
The news that Russia is to build a naval base adjacent to the Red Sea underscores the geopolitical background to the recent escalation of conflict in Ethiopia. The Horn of Africa with its intersection of trade routes is the subject of intense geopolitical contest. China and more recently Russia are offering economic partnership for development,…
