Why Conflict in Caucasus Is Erdogan’s Revenge for Syria

Why Conflict in Caucasus Is Erdogan’s Revenge for Syria

Turkey’s outsize role in fueling the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan is becoming more apparent. That’s why a peace deal will be hard to cut and indeed the conflict may blow up further into a protracted regional war. A war that could drag Russia into battling in the Caucasus on its southern periphery against NATO…

Why Wasn’t There Any Post-Election Turmoil In Tajikistan?

Why Wasn’t There Any Post-Election Turmoil In Tajikistan?

Unlike fellow former Soviet Republics Belarus and even neighboring Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan’s latest elections didn’t result in any turmoil even though one might have expected it to have due to some similarly discernible risk factors, but that wasn’t the case (at least not yet) for five primary reasons. Tajikistan’s latest elections came and went without any…

War in Nagorno-Karabakh Is a Gamechanger in Russian-Turkish Relations

War in Nagorno-Karabakh Is a Gamechanger in Russian-Turkish Relations

After Turkey downed a Russian jet operating in Syria in late 2015, there was a major risk that the Syrian War could explode into a greater conflict between the two Eurasian countries. The Turkish attack resulted in the death of two Russian servicemen and relations between Moscow and Ankara were again tested in December 2016…

RAND and the Malevolent Encirclement of Russia

RAND and the Malevolent Encirclement of Russia

Over recent weeks a series of events in the states surrounding the Russian Federation has erupted that certainly are not being greeted with joy in the Kremlin. Each crisis center of itself is not a definitive game-changer for future Russian security. Taken together they suggest something far more ominous is unfolding against Moscow. A recent…

Dangerous Delusions: US Claims Arms Control ‘Agreement’ with Russia for Trump Election Points

Dangerous Delusions: US Claims Arms Control ‘Agreement’ with Russia for Trump Election Points

Extending the New START treaty until a new arms control agreement can be negotiated is in the best interest of world peace. President Trump, however, seems ready to sacrifice that security for a few points in pre-election ratings. There is one thing virtually every arms control expert can agree on: extending the Strategic Arms Reduction…

Karabagh: NATO Supports Turkey While Seeking to Eliminate President Erdoğan

Karabagh: NATO Supports Turkey While Seeking to Eliminate President Erdoğan

This article is a follow-up to : “Will the Artsakh (Karabagh) be the tomb of Erdoğan ?“ The war has been going on in Nagorno-Karabakh since September 27, 2020. The superiority of the Azerbaijani forces is obvious, both in number and in the quality of their weaponry. The first line of defense of the Artsakhae…