Partition, Regime Change, and Geopolitical Rivalry: What does 2023 Hold for the Middle East?

Partition, Regime Change, and Geopolitical Rivalry: What does 2023 Hold for the Middle East?

As the year of 2022 comes to an end, the usual spate of predictions for the incoming year are espoused by many. That includes, it seems, Russia’s Security Council Deputy Chairman Dmitry Medvedev, who predicted on Twitter – either mockingly or seriously, or perhaps both – a number of world-altering events in 2023 such as the breakout…

The Foundation for a Resolution to the Syrian Crisis has been Laid

The Foundation for a Resolution to the Syrian Crisis has been Laid

In mid-December, Turkish President R.T. Erdoğan, returning from a trip to Turkmenistan, sent a clear signal that the Syrian conflict could be resolved within the Syria-Turkey-Russia trio. For this, the Turkish leader suggested, representatives of the intelligence organizations of the three countries and the defense ministers should meet first, and then the foreign ministers. The…

South Caucasus: A Battle of Wills and Corridors

South Caucasus: A Battle of Wills and Corridors

On 12 December, under the pretext of environmentalism, dozens of state-backed “eco-activists” from Azerbaijan blocked the only land corridor connecting Armenia to Nagorno-Karabakh. The blockade created a humanitarian crisis for the 120,000 Armenians living in Nagorno-Karabakh, cutting them off from the outside world. This is not the first time Baku has taken such a provocative…

Will Turkiye Go to War with Greece?

Will Turkiye Go to War with Greece?

The media has recently been more frequently reporting on the deteriorating situation in the Eastern Mediterranean and the heightened warlike accusations made by Turkish and Greek officials. Moreover, the disputes between these states over the situation in the Aegean Sea are aggravated by outright incitement to conflict by several states in the region. First of…