RAND and the Malevolent Encirclement of Russia

RAND and the Malevolent Encirclement of Russia

Over recent weeks a series of events in the states surrounding the Russian Federation has erupted that certainly are not being greeted with joy in the Kremlin. Each crisis center of itself is not a definitive game-changer for future Russian security. Taken together they suggest something far more ominous is unfolding against Moscow. A recent…

Karabagh: NATO Supports Turkey While Seeking to Eliminate President Erdoğan

Karabagh: NATO Supports Turkey While Seeking to Eliminate President Erdoğan

This article is a follow-up to : “Will the Artsakh (Karabagh) be the tomb of Erdoğan ?“ The war has been going on in Nagorno-Karabakh since September 27, 2020. The superiority of the Azerbaijani forces is obvious, both in number and in the quality of their weaponry. The first line of defense of the Artsakhae…

NATO, Energy Geopolitics and Conflict in Caucasus

NATO, Energy Geopolitics and Conflict in Caucasus

Rarely are geopolitical events innocently coincidental, as an old saying goes. Let’s look at a few recent upheavals. First we have the renewed pressure on Germany and Europe to abandon the Nord Stream-2 gas pipeline from Russia, which the strange Navalny affair and his alleged poison-assassination conveniently gives cover to what would otherwise be an…

Scenario Forecasting: What Could a Russian Intervention in Nagorno-Karabakh Look Like?

Scenario Forecasting: What Could a Russian Intervention in Nagorno-Karabakh Look Like?

Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov’s suggestion to deploy Russian peacekeepers and military observers into the universally recognized Azerbaijani territory of Nagorno-Karabakh and its seven surrounding districts under Armenian occupation pending both sides’ agreement raises the prospect of Moscow’s military intervention in this conflict, which is worthwhile examining since this scenario isn’t as far-fetched as some might…

Does Damascus Regard The Syrian Armenians Reportedly Fighting In Azerbaijan As Traitors?

Does Damascus Regard The Syrian Armenians Reportedly Fighting In Azerbaijan As Traitors?

The Turkish reports alleging that the Kurdish-allied Syrian-Armenian militia “Nubar Ozanyan Brigade” is fighting in Azerbaijan on the side of the separatists prompt questions about exactly how Damascus regards this armed group, but if Syria’s official statements pertaining to the US-backed “Syrian Democratic Forces” umbrella organization under which those fighters operate are any indication, then…

Armenia & Russia Are Sending Each Other Strong Signals Through the CSTO

Armenia & Russia Are Sending Each Other Strong Signals Through the CSTO

OneWorld is publishing the original English-language version of Andrew Korybko’s analysis on the titular topic that was first released in Russian at the Moscow-Baku information portal. Armenia’s decision to skip next week’s CSTO drills in Belarus and the bloc’s subsequently announced postponement of planned exercises in the South Caucasus country later this month (purportedly decided…