The Karabakh War Is Over. The Crisis Is Not. What Comes Next?

The Karabakh War Is Over. The Crisis Is Not. What Comes Next?

First, I want to begin this analysis by posting the full translation of an article posted yesterday by the Russian webzine Vzgliad.  I materially don’t have the time to make my own translation, so what I will post is just a minimally retouched machine translation, I apologize for this. original Russian text: https://vz.ru/world/2020/11/12/1070326.html Five main…

Analytical Reflections: Learning from the Nagorno-Karabakh Fiasco

Analytical Reflections: Learning from the Nagorno-Karabakh Fiasco

The sudden conclusion of the Nagorno-Karabakh War is the perfect time to reflect on why the analytical community got it so wrong about that conflict, both in terms of its dynamic developments and ultimate outcome, all with the intent of learning some hard lessons that might hopefully reduce the likelihood of so many avoidable professional…

Russian Diplomacy Pulls Caucasus From Brink of Disaster

Russian Diplomacy Pulls Caucasus From Brink of Disaster

During six weeks of intense fighting between Armenian and Azerbaijani forces which erupted on September 27 over the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh territory, it is estimated that up to 5,000 lives were lost. As many as 100,000 civilians were displaced. The ceasefire brokered this week by Russia has to be welcomed as preventing further escalation and suffering…

The End of the Nagorno-Karabakh War: Retrospection, Clarification, and Forecast

The End of the Nagorno-Karabakh War: Retrospection, Clarification, and Forecast

The end of the Nagorno-Karabakh War that was brought about by Armenia’s sudden Russian-facilitated surrender following its total defeat on the battlefield is the perfect time for reviewing why so many folks in the Alt-Media Community got it all wrong, clarifying the state of affairs as they exist after this conflict’s conclusion, and forecasting what…

Ceasefire in the Caucasus Opens Door to Rebalancing of Regional Power

Ceasefire in the Caucasus Opens Door to Rebalancing of Regional Power

A Russian mediated-ceasefire in the Caucasus cements a Turkish-backed Azerbaijani military defeat of Armenia but raises tantalizing questions. Spontaneous mass protests against the terms of the ceasefire and the government’s conduct of the war potentially throw into doubt the future of Armenian President Nikol Pashinyan and Armenia’s ability to implement the ceasefire. The protests also…

End of Artsakh (Nagorno-Karabakh) War Now May Prove to be Compromising Solution

End of Artsakh (Nagorno-Karabakh) War Now May Prove to be Compromising Solution

From the Aegean to Central Asia, people were celebrating on the streets after Azerbaijan captured large swathes of Armenian-held territory in Artsakh, or more commonly known as Nagorno-Karabakh. After a month and a half of brutal warfare with no end in sight, it took the downing of a Russian helicopter and two resulting deaths to…